Project 2025 Tracker - Documenting the implementation of the "Mandate for Leadership"
Implementation & Enforcement Tracker
Policy Directive

Taking the Reins of Government

"It is the goal of the next conservative President to dismantle the Administrative State and return self-governance to the American people." - Mandate for Leadership, Page 1

Breaking - Jan 2026
Venezuela Invaded - Maduro Captured
Minneapolis
2,000 ICE Agents - "Largest Operation Ever"
NATO Crisis
Military Option for Greenland Confirmed
2025 Record
227 EOs, 622K Deportations, 270K Jobs Cut
227
Executive Orders
270K+
Federal Jobs Cut
$12.7B
Foreign Aid Cut
27%
Avg Tariff Rate
Current Year

2026

Year Two: Entrenchment & Escalation

2026 Key Events & Milestones

JAN 27
Paris Agreement Exit Effective
JAN 30
Govt Funding Deadline
SPRING
Birthright SCOTUS Arguments

January 2026 - Already Implemented

Military Strike
JAN 3, 2026
Implemented
Venezuela

Operation Absolute Resolve - Venezuela Strike

U.S. launched military strike on Venezuela, bombing military installations. Special Forces captured President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores. First U.S. military intervention in Latin America in decades. Prediction markets for Panama Canal/Greenland actions spiked following operation.

ICE Operation
JAN 6, 2026
Implemented
Immigration

Operation Metro Surge - 2,000 Agents to Minneapolis

"Largest immigration operation ever" - ICE Acting Director Lyons. 2,000 federal agents deployed to Twin Cities following welfare fraud allegations linked to Somali community. Trump previously called Somali residents "garbage." Over 400 arrests in first days. Somali-Americans carrying passports in fear of stops.

White House
JAN 6, 2026
Implemented
Territorial

Military Option for Greenland Confirmed

"Utilizing the U.S. Military is always an option" - Press Secretary Leavitt confirmed military force on table for Greenland acquisition. Danish PM Frederiksen warned this could end NATO. Prediction markets: 38% odds U.S. takes control of Greenland, 35% for Panama Canal. Sen. Gallego introduced resolution to block invasion.

Shooting
JAN 7, 2026
Implemented
Immigration

Minneapolis - ICE Agent Kills Protestor

ICE agent fatally shot Renee Good during protest against immigration raids, blocks from where George Floyd was killed in 2020. Protests intensified with tear gas, rubber bullets, sound cannons deployed. Mayor accused ICE of wrongfully arresting U.S. citizen "because he looked Somali."

Executive Order
JAN 7, 2026
Implemented
International

Withdrawal from 66 International Organizations

"Most extensive retreat from global cooperation in modern history." Acting on Feb 2025 review, U.S. exits 66 international bodies including UN climate treaty framework. $800M peacekeeping support cancelled. UN peacekeeping forces to be cut 25%.

Executive Order
JAN 7, 2026
Implemented
Defense

Defense Contractor Executive Pay Tied to Performance

Secretary of War to identify underperforming contractors. Executive compensation must be tied to on-time delivery and production capacity, not short-term financial metrics. Targets stock buybacks over military readiness.

Late January 2026 - Imminent

Treaty Exit
JAN 27, 2026
Imminent
Climate

Paris Agreement Withdrawal Takes Effect

One year after notification, U.S. officially exits Paris Climate Agreement. U.S. has second-highest GHG emissions globally. 194 other countries representing ~90% of emissions remain in agreement. No other nation has withdrawn.

DHS Rule
FEB 27, 2026
Pending
Immigration

Weighted H-1B Selection Process

New DHS rule published Dec 29, 2025 changes H-1B visa lottery to "weighted selection process." Takes effect Feb 27, 2026. Significant changes to high-skilled immigration system.

Budget
JAN 30, 2026
Deadline
Government

Government Funding Deadline

Current government funding expires Jan 30, 2026. Congressional negotiations with White House will dominate coming weeks. Previous shutdowns accelerated administration goals (e.g., Education Dept closure).

Spring 2026 - Scheduled & Projected

SCOTUS
SPRING 2026
Scheduled
Immigration

Birthright Citizenship - Supreme Court Arguments

Oral arguments in Barbara v. Trump on constitutionality of ending birthright citizenship. First Trump immigration policy to reach SCOTUS on merits. Ruling expected summer 2026. All affected children currently protected by class-wide injunction.

SCOTUS
2026
Pending
Trade

Tariff Authority - Supreme Court Review

Administration appealed CIT ruling that IEEPA tariffs exceed presidential authority. Initial arguments: justices appeared skeptical. If tariffs struck down, major recalibration of trade policy required.

Trade Review
2026
Projected
Trade

USMCA Review Due

The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement review is due in 2026. Current tariff disputes may affect renegotiation. Potential for further trade conflict with largest trading partners.

Q1-Q2 2026 - Emerging Crises

Crisis
2026
Escalating
NATO

NATO Alliance in Crisis Over Greenland

"If the United States decides to attack another NATO country, then everything would stop – that includes NATO" - Danish PM Frederiksen. Article 5 would require NATO members to defend Denmark against U.S. Sen. Murphy: "Article 5 did not anticipate that the invading country would be a member of NATO." Experts advise Europe to prepare for Greenland annexation and possible end of NATO.

Territorial
2026
38% Odds
Territorial

Greenland Acquisition - Military or Economic

Prediction markets at 38% for U.S. control of Greenland. Greenland PM: "We are not for sale and cannot simply be taken." Strategic value: 31 minerals including lithium, graphite, rare earths needed for EV batteries. 70% of rare earths currently from China. Options discussed: economic pressure, military force, direct purchase.

Territorial
2026
35% Odds
Territorial

Panama Canal "Reclamation"

"We've already started doing it" - Trump, March 4, 2025. 40% of U.S. container shipping transits canal. Claims (disputed) of Chinese control and inflated fees. American company already given control of key ports. Prediction markets: 35% odds of U.S. takeover before 2029.

Q2-Q4 2026 - Policy Projections

Regulatory
Q2 2026
Projected
Environment

EPA Endangerment Finding Challenge

Administrator Zeldin sent memo in Feb 2025 stating endangerment finding "no longer reflected current science." Full challenge to 2009 finding that GHG emissions are harmful likely to advance. Would eliminate EPA's obligation to regulate carbon emissions.

Personnel
2026
Projected
Civil Service

Full Schedule Policy/Career Implementation

With final regulations in place, mass reclassification of 50,000+ federal employees as at-will workers expected. Legal challenges ongoing but administration advancing implementation. Union resistance continues.

DOJ Enforcement
2026
Projected
Healthcare

Comstock Act Enforcement Expansion

DOJ expected to expand enforcement of 1873 Comstock Act to prohibit mailing abortion medications. Would effectively create nationwide restriction without congressional action. Legal challenges anticipated.

Budget
2026
Projected
Education

Education Department Further Dismantled

Congressional Republicans expected to advance formal abolition. More programs transferred to other agencies. School choice initiatives expanded. Title I oversight eliminated. Only congressional action can fully abolish.

Immigration
2026
Projected
Immigration

Mass Deportation Operations Continue

622,000+ deportations in 2025 establishes baseline. Operations expected to accelerate with expanded detention capacity (65,000+ currently). Workplace raids, community sweeps continue. State/local cooperation remains key variable.

Agency Action
2026
Projected
Media

Corporation for Public Broadcasting Defunding

Elimination of federal funding for NPR, PBS expected in budget negotiations. Administration views taxpayer-funded broadcasting as promotion of liberal viewpoints.

Regulatory
2026
Projected
Climate

NOAA Restructuring Advances

Breaking up NOAA and redistributing functions. Privatization of National Weather Service. Elimination of climate research programs. Defunding of "climate alarmism" science.

Elections
NOV 2026
Projected
Elections

Midterm Elections - Key Test

November 2026 midterms will determine pace of next two years. DOJ Civil Rights Division refocused on "voter fraud" investigations per Mandate. Congressional balance determines ability to codify executive actions into law.